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CSU 92/2010: REDUCING PLASMODIUM FALCIPARUM MALARIA TRANSMISSION IN AFRICA: A MODEL-BASED EVALUATION OF INTERVENTION STRATEGIES

Tuesday, 21st of September 2010

CSU 92/2010:  REDUCING PLASMODIUM FALCIPARUM MALARIA TRANSMISSION IN AFRICA: A MODEL-BASED EVALUATION OF INTERVENTION STRATEGIES

 

‘Ghani and colleagues assess whether the malaria control tools currently available are capable of controlling and eliminating falciparum malaria in Africa.’

From the editors’ summary :

‘This new mathematical model greatly simplifies the complex dynamics of malaria transmission and includes several assumptions about which there is considerable uncertainty. The findings of this study are not, therefore, firm predictions of the future of malaria control in specific settings. Nevertheless, they suggest that it should be possible to make large reductions in malaria transmission and the associated disease burden in Africa over the next 25 years using currently available tools.

 

‘Specifically, in regions where transmission is low or moderate and mosquitoes mainly feed indoors, it should be possible to reduce parasite prevalence to less than 1% provided a sustained intervention program is achieved. Importantly, however, these findings suggest that in regions where malaria transmission is high or where mosquitoes rest and bite outside houses, new approaches will be needed to control and eliminate malaria.’

 

 

Full text is at http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pmed.1000324

Good reading.

 

BD