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Public health Interventions and epidemic intensity during the 1918 influenza pandemic
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 1 May 2007
Hatchett R J et al.
https://www.pnas.org/content/104/18/7582
“These findings support the hypothesis that rapid implementation of multiple nonpharmaceutical interventions can significantly reduce influenza transmission, but that viral spread will be renewed upon relaxation of such measures.”